In this paper, I show with Conrad Friedrich that the scenario approach to legal proof can be understood in terms of probabilities—contrary to some proponents of this approach. This strengthens the successfully applied sccenario approach by giving it a Bayesian justification. The paper is Open Access available here . And below is the corresponding poster for the Central APA in Chicago 2026.

My lead article "Factual Difference-Making"(with Holger Andreas) is now published Open Access in the Australasian Philosophical Review ....

I comment on Minkyung Wang's paper "Accuracy and Informativity of Belief" at the Formal Epistemology Workshop in Iceland. Please find my...